John O. Campbell
This is the conclusion of The Knowing Universe
This book proposed an inferential systems definition of
existence. In this interpretation, the world-in-itself is portrayed as a vast
hierarchically nested series of inferential systems, each diligently
investigating the possibilities for specific forms of existence. One benefit of
this interpretation is its casting of the universe in an easily knowable form;
a little knowledge of inferential systems provides a little knowledge of
everything.
Our interpretation of scientific knowledge within an
inferential systems framework reveals science itself in a new light; science is
an inferential system that accumulates knowledge in essentially the same manner
as all other naturally occurring inferential systems. This view of science may
inform some problems that have long plagued western philosophy.
One of those problems is the general relationship between existing
entities and our perceptions or mental concepts portraying them. During the
scientific revolution, roughly between 1543 and 1687
David Hume |
Fifty years after the scientific revolution, David Hume cast some shade on empirical claims of certain knowledge, noting that many natural processes, such as causation, are not entirely amenable to sensory evidence. However, he retained the critical caveat that instead of certainty, sensory evidence can provide probabilistic knowledge. Using this, essentially Bayesian insight, Hume argued that hypotheses judged as unlikely in our prior experience require a greater weight of evidence, or as more recently framed, extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence
Forty years later
Immanel Kant, built upon Hume’s empirical skepticism claiming an essential
dichotomy between sensory-based knowledge and the true nature of things in themselves
And we indeed, rightly considering
objects of sense as mere appearances, confess thereby that they are based upon
a thing in itself, though we know not this thing as it is in itself, but only
know its appearances, viz., the way in which our senses are affected by this
unknown something.
Kant describes an apparent gulf between things in themselves
and any possible empirical knowledge we can have of them. A recent statement of
this dichotomy uses the example of the gulf between maps and the territory they
model (and admonishes us not to confuse the two). In Kant’s time, many perceived
this as a trivial intellectual gulf posing no reason for despair as it did not
yet challenge the near-universal religious models. Although lacking empirical foundations,
the Christian model of the universe was considered an accurate portrayal of the
world-in-itself. Indeed, Kant’s contemporaries understood his radical philosophy
as resonating quite well with Christian doctrine. One of his early commentators
noted
And does not this system itself
cohere most splendidly with the Christian religion? Do not the divinity and
beneficence of the latter become all the more evident?
But scientific and philosophical developments were building
bridges between perceptual models and the world-in-itself, bridges that would
come to challenge those offered by religious teaching and to undermine our cozy
place within Christian models of the universe. Astronomers such as William Herschel
(1738 – 1822) found evidence of a
vast universe, suggesting that both earth
and humanity played apparently insignificant roles – a scenario challenging
Christian doctrine. And then Darwin demonstrated that counter to religious
teaching, people have descended from earlier forms of life. These and countless
other scientific findings undermined the Christian worldview among the
intelligentsia.
Not only did this new learning contradict many religious
teachings, it also illustrated the constraints that religion placed upon
knowledge. Most Protestant sects identified the Bible as revealed truth and
considered it a complete worldview for humanity. But the scope of biblical knowledge
is relatively minimal. How far could knowledge grow within this confine? For
example, the bible makes only passing references to stars. One of the more
explicit passages is:
And God made the two great
lights—the greater light to rule the day and the lesser light to rule the
night—and the stars.
It does not offer any detailed knowledge concerning
stars-in-themselves; they are only bit players in this God-centric tale. And it
provides no path to greater knowledge of stars. For that, we must look elsewhere.
Under these influences, acceptance of biblical teachings as
literal descriptions of the world-in-itself became increasingly untenable. Finally,
in 1882 Fredrick Nietzsche (1844 – 1900) announced God’s murder and held
humanity responsible:
God is dead. God remains dead. And
we have killed him. How shall we comfort ourselves, the murderers of all
murderers? What was holiest and mightiest of all that the world has yet owned
has bled to death under our knives: who will wipe this blood off us? What water
is there for us to clean ourselves? What festivals of atonement, what sacred
games shall we have to invent? Is not the greatness of this deed too great for
us? Must we ourselves not become gods simply to appear worthy of it?
After fifteen hundred years, Europe's foundational model of
the universe crumbled, leaving no handy alternative. As Martin Heidegger (1889
– 1976), a leading 20th-century metaphysician, explained, humanity
was left exposed to its most significant source of anxiety, the anxiety
experienced when we face the finite nature of our existence.
And worse was to come. Ludwig Wittgenstein (1889 – 1951),
perhaps the twentieth century’s most influential philosopher
It is not how things are in
the world that is mystical, but that it exists.
Wittgenstein had experienced the terrors of WWI’s trench
warfare, and although he rose to the occasion displaying remarkable valour, it
left him deeply shaken and his philosophy practically a denial of any possibility
for human meaning. Wittgenstein was not alone in his visceral reaction to the
terrors of WWI. Many began to consider that at best, God was only remotely
concerned with the world's workings and that to understand those workings and
perhaps even shape them, we would have to look elsewhere.
Together Nietzsche, Heidegger and Wittgenstein brought western
philosophy to the brink of nihilism
But even while philosophy despaired, science had quietly begun
developing models detailing the human relationship to the world-in-itself. This
scientific awakening offered a revolutionary new perspective of our place in
the universe, one that converged on several different fronts into a single idea; humans are a part of nature - as the old saying goes, just like the trees
and the stars you have a right to be here.
Just as western philosophy flirted with nihilism, science
confirmed that everything in the universe, ourselves included, is made of the
same hundred-odd elements. This discovery soon developed into the understanding
that all elements are forged in stars from the same simple building blocks and
spread to the rest of the universe when stars die. We, along with everything
else, are composed of stardust.
But science soon moved beyond a simple unification of nature
based on a shared universal composition. Perhaps the scientific finding having
the greatest impact on our perceived relationship to the universe was the
theory of natural selection developed by Charles Darwin. This theory offered an
alternative to God’s special creation, placing humans above all other living
things and describing humanity as a recent evolutionary design directly related
to all other organisms. Darwin’s brilliant description of natural selection in On
The Origin Of Species included many examples from the natural world supporting
his theory that are incompatible with the Christian theory of creation from design. Many
open-minded readers found Darwin’s arguments devastating to the biblical account,
causing a collapse in credibility, a profound cultural shock recorded by
pessimistic philosophers, such as Nietzsche and Heidegger.
Gone was our favoured place among the gods, and we found
ourselves instead exposed to a sense of meaninglessness within a vast, uncaring
universe. Yet, once over that initial shock, a closer reading of Darwin reveals
new, more profound meaning. As noted by the Darwinian champion Thomas Huxley
(1825 – 1895) in his great book Evidence As to Man's Place In Nature
Mr. Darwin's hypothesis is not, so
far as I am aware, inconsistent with any known biological fact; on the
contrary, if admitted, the facts of Development, of Comparative Anatomy, of
Geographical Distribution, and of Palaeontology, become connected together, and
exhibit a meaning such as they never possessed before
We were no longer the favoured children of an all-powerful
God, but we had gained membership in the more tangible family of all living
things. As Darwin succinctly noted, this context provides us with significant
meaning
There is grandeur in this
view of life
Although scientific explanations, such as natural selection,
offered meaning through our context within nature, they often provide only a
vague summary of nature-in-itself. Natural selection reduces almost to
tautology in its central claim that only the fittest organisms exist because fitness
is the relative frequency of existence. It
only escapes tautology due to the non-statistical or functional aspects of
fitness composing a vastly complex network of adaptation working in conjunction
to retain an organism within existence. Although
natural selection, by itself, does not go far in exposing the thing-in-itself
of existence, science began developing knowledge of those mechanistic details.
Kant’s dichotomy, although softened by scientific
understanding, remained stark. The modern scientific philosopher Alfred
Korzybski (1879 – 1950) framed the Kantian dichotomy with a caveat offering a
way forward
A map is not the territory it represents,
but, if correct, it has a similar structure to the territory, which
accounts for its usefulness.
Here he makes two claims. The first supports Kant’s view
that maps (models) and territories (things in themselves) are separate and
should not be confused. He describes a dichotomy that is still somewhat
faddishly used as a put down to proposed explanations, dismissing them as
confusing the map with the territory, mistaking mere description for the
thing-in-itself. His second point is more substantial than the first; any map
is a good map to the extent that it shares its territory’s logical
structure.
Ensuing developments during the scientific age have explored
this caveat bridging Kant’s dichotomy. As one example, Darwinian evolution
argues that animals’ sensory perceptions should accurately portray the
world-in-itself; senses and perceptions have evolved for the practical purpose of
allowing animals to navigate challenges posed by the world-in-itself. It
identifies perception as an adaptation for accurately portraying aspects of the
world-in-itself and describes a mechanism for improving this perceptual
accuracy over evolutionary time. In other words, the world-in-itself and animals’
perceptions of it must share much the same logical structure.
Nature's many domains such as life may be viewed, within the framework
of inferential systems, as instances where autopoietic models, such as genomes,
transform into existing entities such as organisms. Here the map transforms
into the territory, revealing both as composed of the same logical structure. This
transformative relationship allows scientific models to extend natural models and
transform them into natural processes wielding tremendous powers. How could this
kind of power be possible unless the underlying scientific models are, to a
large extent, true?
A favourite, perhaps an apocryphal example, involves one of
the first physicists to understand the process of nucleosynthesis within stars.
While stargazing with a girlfriend, he bragged that he was the only person who truly
understood why stars shone[1].
His brag implied a close correspondence between the scientific model he had
discovered and stellar things-in-themselves, a correspondence borne out by utilizing
his newly discovered model as a recipe for building thermonuclear bombs a few
decades later. When carefully followed, this scientific model transforms into
mini stars here on earth. How can models that prove so powerful fail to be
faithful representations or share the same logical structure as the
things-in-themselves?
The development of Covid-19 vaccinations provides a further
example illustrating convergence between scientific models and the world-in-itself.
The virus’ genetic code, published just weeks after it became a concern in
China, stimulated a few medical labs to construct computer models of those
genetic sequences expressing proteins on the virus’ surface. When these models are
transformed into mRNA and injected into people, they alert the body's immune
system, just as would an actual infection, ramping up antibodies capable of
defeating future viral infections. This transformation from scientific model to
immune system stimulation causes the vaccine's effectiveness and indicates
convergence between scientific models and the world in itself.
As a final and perhaps decisive example of the convergence between
scientific models and the world-in-itself, we consider computation's power to
model natural processes. The Church-Turing thesis states that a Turing machine,
the technical name for a classical computer having unlimited resources, can
compute any computable function
The recent theoretical discovery of quantum computing has propelled
this thesis into the Church – Turing - Deutsch principle
As illustrated by these examples, scientific understanding
has evolved beyond mere descriptive models to provide models capable of duplicating
or simulating nature’s many mechanisms and bringing entities to exist within the
world in itself. In other words, we can
view the world in itself as essentially similar to our scientific models –
resolving the Kantian dichotomy.
Scientific models simulate both nature’s models or
generalized genotypes and their resulting physical forms, or generalized
phenotypes, existing as the world in itself. But science goes beyond simulating
existing forms and can serve as a generalized genotype that brings new technologies
into existence.
The world itself and its scientific models are vastly complex,
hierarchical nestings of inferential systems; each system is engaged in a
cyclical two-step inferential process, evolving and implementing knowledge for
existence. These two steps are consequences of the free-energy principle, which
states that systems maximize the evidence predicted by their models and thereby
reduce the surprise they experience. Systems may do this in two ways:
1) They may accurately follow their models’ knowledge (active inference), causing the world in itself to conform to their models.
2) They may update their models to greater accuracy using evidence of their existence (learning or evolution) within the world in itself, causing their models to conform to reality.
These two steps
form cyclic inferential systems where knowledgeable models create and maintain
the world in itself (e.g. genotypes create and maintain phenotypes), and the
phenotype’s experience within the world in itself updates model knowledge (e.g.
natural selection). This universal dualism explains the accumulation of
knowledge in the universe and identifies science as a recent, powerful, but
essentially natural method of knowledge accumulation. We suggest that in this
manner, the chasm between scientific models and the natural world in itself is
bridged.
Inferential systems
provide a general scientific description of existence and an account of the
world-in-itself, where each entity within the vast web of existence is inferentially
engaged in exploring possibilities for existence. Here, the polar concepts of
scientific description and the world-in-itself converge in the nascent field of
Bayesian mechanics (421), which, like Newtonian mechanics, serves as a
scientific description and an account of the world-in-itself. Science’s inferential
nature provides optimal models, those sharing maximal logical structure with
the vast inferential system composing the world-in-itself. In other words,
science provides potent maps of the world’s territory because of its shared
logical structure.
Part I of this book claimed that all forms of existence are
examples of inferential systems. Part II explored and described inferential
systems, and Part III interpreted modern scientific findings in the domains of
cosmology, quantum phenomena, biology, neural-based behaviour and culture as inferential
systems. Almost certainly, many of this account’s details are incorrect but more
accurate, universalist explanations of existence may soon emerge because many convergent
frameworks are under development. And we may also have confidence that this eventual
explanation will describe existence in terms of knowledge and knowledge in
terms of inferential processes.
References
1. Wooten, David. The invention of
science: A new history of the scientific revolution. s.l. : Harper
Perennial; Reprint edition (December 13, 2016), 2016. ISBN-10: 0061759538.
2. Wikipedia.
Francis Bacon. Wikipedia. [Online] [Cited: September 26, 2021.]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Francis_Bacon.
3. —. Sagan standard.
Wikipedia. [Online] [Cited: July 11, 2021.]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sagan_standard.
4. —. David Hume. Wikipedia.
[Online] [Cited: November 22, 2020.] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Hume.
5. Kant, Immanuel.
Prolegomena to Any Future Metaphysics. 1783.
6. Wikipedia.
Immanuel Kant. Wikipedia. [Online] [Cited: February 14, 2021.]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immanuel_Kant.
7. —. Ludwig
Wittgenstein. Wikipedia. [Online] [Cited: Februarfy 15, 2021.]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ludwig_Wittgenstein.
8. Wittgenstein,
Ludwig. Tractatus Logico-Philosophicus. New York :
[Reprinted, with a few corrections] Harcourt, Brace,, 1933.
9. Wikipedia.
Nihlism. Wikipedia. [Online] [Cited: February 24, 2021.]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nihilism.
10. Huxley, Thomas
Henry. Evidence as to Man's Place in Nature. s.l. : Williams
& Norgate, 1863.
11. Darwin,
Charles. The Origin of Species. sixth edition. New York : The
New American Library - 1958, 1872. pp. 391 -392.
12. Korzybski,
Alfred. Science and Sanity: An Introduction to Non-Aristotelian
Systems and General Semantics. . s.l. : International
Non-Aristotelian Library Publishing Company., 1933.
13. Wikipedia.
Church-Turing thesis. Wikipedia. [Online] [Cited: February 23, 2021.]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Church%E2%80%93Turing_thesis.
14. —.
Church-Turing-Deutsch principle. Wikipedia. [Online] [Cited: February
23, 2021.] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Church%E2%80%93Turing%E2%80%93Deutsch_principle.
[1]
Sometimes these eureka moment celebrations can be deflationary. The
neuroscientist Geoffry Hinton (born 1947) is reported to have announced to his
family that he believed he had finally figured out how the human brain worked.
His fifteen-year-old daughter replied: ‘Oh Daddy, not again!’.
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